Ada County December Real Estate Market Report is in…and it looks pretty darn good

January 18, 2012

By: Marc Lebowitz, Executive Officer, ACAR (Ada County (Idaho) Association of Realtors)

2011 December sales were 477 in Ada County, a decrease of 9% over December 2010.

Total sales for 2011 are 6,299; up 7% over 2010. In July of 2011, we exceeded YTD 2010 sales for the first time in 2011. This is our first year-over-year increase, without influence of the home buyer tax credit, in a few years. This is our first time crossing the 6,000 homes sold threshold since 2007…how long ago that seems!

Marc Lebowitz, ACAR Executive Officer, The Idaho Statesman calls Marc “the guy who’s always saying now is a good time to buy.”

December sales decreased 3% from November’s 487. Historically, December sales decrease from November.

Of our total sales in December… 48% were distressed….up 1% from November 2011. In January 2011, 57% of our sales were distressed. We have seen a mild overall increase in the percentage of sales in distress. In July we were down to 42% overall and have seen the amount increase one to two points each month.

For homes sold in December, the average number of “Days on Market” was 86. This is essentially unchanged from last month. Down from 90 days last year this time and down from 93 days in January 2011.

Pending sales at the end of December were 691; a decrease of 7.5% from the end of November. This represents the smallest number of pendings in 2011. That is fairly consistent with historical data. The percentage of pending sales in distress increased 1% from November, totaling 49% overall. This is the highest number of pending sales in distress we’ve had since early spring. Even so, we are now at eight consecutive months below 50%.

At the end of December, we had 20% more sales pending than at the end of December 2010.

December median home price held at November levels. Overall median price was $149,300; up 1.2% from December 2010. For all of 2011 our median was down 6.97%. That is a significant improvement from where we were in January 2011: down 20%.

New Homes median price for December 2011 was $223,739; an 24% increase from December 2010. Year-to-date new homes median is up 15% over 2010 to $237,500.

The number of houses available continues to decrease. At the end of December our total active inventory was 1,991 homes. This is down 9% from November and 25% less than last year at this time. Our inventory has fallen below where we would call the market “in equilibrium”. We are now in a “shortage”.

At the same time, the percentage of distressed active inventory held steady at 36%. We have been hovering between 33% and 36% since May. We remain well below the 40% levels set last spring….when we were on the increase.

In Ada Countywe have 4.2 months of inventory on hand…historically this number defines a strong “seller’s market”. The price category in shortest supply is <$119,000 with 2.5 months. In the range of $120,000 to $159,999 we have 3.9 months. All price points up to $400,000 have less than 5 moths supply. We have benefited all year from inventory levels much lower than national average. now, however, we are starting to see some slowdown in sales as the inventory continues to fall.

Based on December sold data, our most desirable price point is $120,000 to $160,000 which made up more than 20% of total sales.

There is no longer any doubt that, in Ada County, we have passed our “low water” point.

The challenge to our continued recovery is available product.

Talking with our 2012 President, Kit Fitzgerald, we don’t see new homes construction being able to keep up with the demand, especially as we move toward Spring.

Financing for builders is still extremely difficult to come by. In Kits words: “Without sticks in the ground, there is no excitement. Without excitement there is no sales growth.”

Sure, we will see median price increase over the next months, but when we get to April and the pent-up demand comes roaring out of winter hibernation…then what?

Another thing I learned from Kit…the desires of new home buyers have changed…about the lots they want to build on. Gone are the days when .13 acre was an acceptable lot size. Buyers now want .25 or more….and there’s very few of those anywhere in Ada County.

Its going to be an interesting Spring.

If I was listing and selling I’d be brushing up on my multiple offer negotiation skills and brush off those old escalation clauses….who would’ve thought?

(Reposted with permission.)


FHA lowers upfront fees

September 10, 2010

Homebuyers using FHA financing are going to get a surprise on October 4th, their mortgages will cost them less than it does today to close on their loan.

 That’s because some creative bookkeeping at HUD has spread the scheduled increase in FHA’s mandatory mortgage insurance premiums over the life of the loan, and will actually reduce the up-front payment at closing from the current 1.75 percent of the loan to 1.00 percent.

FHA lowers upfront fees

However, monthly mortgage insurance payments will increase from 55 to 90 basis points.  On a $275,000 mortgage, the change in payment would be about $70 higher a month.  On a $125,000 mortgage, the increase would amount to about $27 more a month.

Even though recent legislation passed by Congress authorized HUD to raise upfront mortgage insurance premiums as high as 2.25 percent of the loan, an increase that was originally scheduled to take effect today, HUD has decided to raise the annual premium and correspondingly lower the upfront premium, except for Home Equity Conversion Mortgages (HECM), so that FHA is in a better position “to address the increased demands of the marketplace and return the Mutual Mortgage Insurance (MMI) fund to congressionally mandated levels without disruption to the housing market,” according to a message circulated to FHA lenders September 1.

As expected, this change is causing confusion in the marketplace.

(Waterstone Boise) (Apply On-line)


New Home Owners In The Waiting

August 25, 2010

A new survey by Trulia.com found that 72% of all renters wish to own their own home. Of those that want to own their own home, one third are ready to buy now and two thirds say that they will wait two years or more.

One-third is a very sizable number and combined with consistently low mortgage rates at or near their historic lows, the stage is set for entry-level home sales to continue to surge. As the entry-level market continues to improve, that provides demand for those that are moving up to the next price level.

While renters are eager to own, they are concerned about the unemployment picture, the economy, and down payment options.

See:  100% Financing for Idaho First Time Homebuyers

(Home Loan Boise)


FHA Launches Short Refi Opportunity for Underwater Homeowners

August 18, 2010

Effort designed to encourage principal write-downs for responsible borrowers

WASHINGTON – In an effort to help responsible homeowners who owe more on their mortgage than the value of their property, the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development today provided details on the adjustment to its refinance program which was announced earlier this year that will enable lenders to provide additional refinancing options to homeowners who owe more than their home is worth. Starting September 7, 2010, the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) will offer certain ‘underwater’ non-FHA borrowers who are current on their existing mortgage and whose lenders agree to write off at least ten percent of the unpaid principal balance of the first mortgage, the opportunity to qualify for a new FHA-insured mortgage.

Underwater Homeowners

The FHA Short Refinance option is targeted to help people who owe more on their mortgage than their home is worth – or ‘underwater’ – because their local markets saw large declines in home values. Originally announced in March, these changes and other programs that have been put in place will help the Administration meet its goal of stabilizing housing markets by offering a second chance to up to 3 to 4 million struggling homeowners through the end of 2012.

“We’re throwing a life line out to those families who are current on their mortgage and are experiencing financial hardships because property values in their community have declined,” said FHA Commissioner David H. Stevens. “This is another tool to help overcome the negative equity problem facing many responsible homeowners who are looking to refinance into a safer, more secure mortgage product.”

Today, FHA published a mortgagee letter to provide guidance to lenders on how to implement this new enhancement. Participation in FHA’s refinance program is voluntary and requires the consent of all lien holders. To be eligible for a new loan, the homeowner must owe more on their mortgage than their home is worth and be current on their existing mortgage. The homeowner must qualify for the new loan under standard FHA underwriting requirements and have a credit score equal to or greater than 500. The property must be the homeowner’s primary residence. And the borrower’s existing first lien holder must agree to write off at least 10% of their unpaid principal balance, bringing that borrower’s combined loan-to-value ratio to no greater than 115%.

In addition, the existing loan to be refinanced must not be an FHA-insured loan, and the refinanced FHA-insured first mortgage must have a loan-to-value ratio of no more than 97.75 percent. Interested homeowners should contact their lenders to determine if they are eligible and whether the lender agrees the write down a portion of the unpaid principal.

To facilitate the refinancing of new FHA-insured loans under this program, the U.S. Department of Treasury will provide incentives to existing second lien holders who agree to full or partial extinguishment of the liens. To be eligible, servicers must execute a Servicer Participation Agreement (SPA) with Fannie Mae, in its capacity as financial agent for the United States, on or before October 3, 2010.


Important Update to the FHA Loan Program

August 16, 2010

Over the past week, Congress has taken quick action and passed H.R. 5981. The bill gives FHA the authority to adjust its annual mortgage insurance premium, yielding approximately $300 million per month in value to the FHA Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund at a time when its reserves are perilously low.

As I have previously stated in my testimony before Congress, FHA will lower its upfront premium simultaneously with the increase to the annual premium¹. It is our intention that effective on September 7, 2010, FHA’s upfront mortgage insurance premium will be adjusted down to 100 basis points on all amortization terms and the annual mortgage insurance premium will increase to 85-90 basis points on amortization terms greater than 15 years². A Mortgagee Letter will be forthcoming once President Obama signs the bill into law, but with today’s passage of H.R. 5981 and our expedited implementation schedule, I wanted to immediately inform the industry of our plans so the lending community can begin preparing for the operational and system changes required to implement FHA’s new mortgage insurance premium structure on all new case numbers by September 7, 2010.

With this authority, FHA is in a better position to address the increased demands of the marketplace and return the MMI fund to congressionally mandated levels without disruption to the housing market.

While we appreciate and applaud this recent action, there is still work to be done. HUD remains steadfast in its commitment to comprehensive FHA reform legislation, similar to the FHA Reform Act passed earlier this year by the House, which would further enhance FHA’s lender enforcement capabilities and risk management efforts. We hope Congress will take swift action to pass a broader FHA reform bill when they return from the August recess. FHA’s risk management efforts will not be complete without the ability to monitor lender performance and ensure compliance with our rules.

Although the transition timeframe is short, implementation by September is critical. Thank you in advance for the efforts of you and your organization to make this change happen on such short notice. We appreciate your hard work and continued partnership.

¹The upfront and annual premium changes do not apply to the following FHA Programs: Title I, HECM, HOPE for Homeowners (H4H), Section 247 (Hawaiian Homelands), Section 248 (Indian Reservations), Section 223 (e) (declining neighborhoods), Section 238(c) (Military Impact areas in Georgia and New York).

² LTV’s <= 95% will increase to 85bps and LTV > 95% will increase to 90 bps

Home Loan Boise  and Waterstone Mortgage – Prime Equity Group


HUD to get tough on ‘strategic’ mortgage defaults

July 20, 2010

Borrowers who walk away from mortgages they can afford to pay — making “strategic defaults” — are running increasing risks that they’ll be penalized for doing so.

Under a bill that’s passed the House and awaits Senate action, the Federal Housing Administration would be barred from insuring mortgages for those who previously ditched a mortgage they had the ability to pay.

Starting in October, Fannie Mae says, strategic defaulters will be disqualified for new Fannie Mae-backed loans for seven years after their foreclosures. Fannie also says it will go to court where it can to recoup outstanding mortgage debt from borrowers who strategically default.

Get-tough policies are forming at the same time that about a quarter of mortgage borrowers owe more than their homes are worth.

Fannie Mae buys about 40% of all mortgages and packages them for resale to investors. The FHA insures about 30% of home mortgages.

Home Loan Boise  and Waterstone Mortgage – Prime Equity Group


Idaho first time home buyers have an option that is even better than FHA!

June 14, 2010

 The Idaho Housing and Finance Association (IHFA) have launched a new program to make homeownership a reality through its IdaMortgage program. The new Affordable Advantage Loan offers a down payment as low as $1,000, and has no mortgage insurance requirement, saving qualified borrowers money on the mortgage payment every month.

“This IHFA exclusive financing option is a great tool for homebuyers as the housing market in Idaho continues its recovery,” said Gerald Hunter, IHFA president and executive director. “It offers another affordable lending option for low- to moderate-income homebuyers across the state.”

Affordable Advantage Loan
Features of the Affordable Advantage Loan include:
• As little as $1,000 needed from borrower to close
• A low-cost, 30-year fixed interest rate
• No mortgage insurance required, reducing a borrower’s monthly payment
• Financing to first-time homebuyers (including those who have not owned a home in the past three years) with good credit histories, requires a 680.  
• Income limits apply
• Loans are serviced in Idaho by IHFA

Home buyers should call me today at (208) 287-1717 to check their eligibility, or visit IdaMortgage  www.IdaMortgage.com

Waterstone Boise


FHA loans are perfect for Idaho first time home buyers

June 2, 2010

In 1934, the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) was created by the National Housing Act for the primary purpose of insuring long-term residential mortgage loans and, thereby, promoting home ownership in the United States. Today, the FHA is the largest government insurer of mortgages in the world.

FHA loans have surged in popularity. In 2005, government-backed FHA loans represented about 2.8% of total loans originated. Today, the number is closer to 30%. Over the past couple of years, as credit standards tightened, FHA loans have become the loan of choice for many homebuyers.

Contributing to the popularity of FHA loans is that the maximum loan amount limit has increased from $303,750 in Ada County to as much as $729,750 in Blaine County, maximum loan amounts depend on the county in which the home is located. (see http://fhaboise.com/fha-limits/)

Also, if you qualify for a loan, the loan-to-value (LTV) ratios are potentially higher than those for conventional mortgage loans. With FHA loans, a buyer can borrow up to 96.5% of the value of a home. The potential for a higher LTV also makes FHA loans an attractive option for homeowners wanting to refinance. And FHA loans come with fixed mortgage rates providing stable payments over the life of the loan. Also, FHA closing costs can be financed into the total amount of the mortgage.

Traditionally, FHA mortgages were used to assist first-time homebuyers who may not have otherwise qualified for a loan. But FHA loans are no longer just for first-time homebuyers. They are increasingly used by move-up buyers.

If you would like to learn more about the FHA loan process – and how it might help your clients move into a new home – please call me today. 208-287-1717

(Waterstone Mortgage Idaho)


New HAFA Provisions for Boise Idaho

May 17, 2010

HAFA Provisions

The Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) Program provides additional options to avoid costly foreclosures and offers incentives to borrowers, servicers and investors who utilize a short sale or deed-in-lieu (DIL) to avoid foreclosures. HAFA alternatives are available to all HAMP-eligible borrowers who: 1) do not qualify for a Trial Period Plan; 2) do not successfully complete a Trial Period Plan; 3) miss at least two consecutive payment during a HAMP modification; or, 4) request a short sale or deed-in-lieu.

In a short sale, the servicer allows the borrower to list and sell the mortgaged property with the understanding that the net proceeds from the sale may be less than the total amount due on the first mortgage. Generally, if the borrower makes a good faith effort to sell the property but is not successful, a servicer may consider a DIL. With a DIL, the borrower voluntarily transfers ownership of the property to the servicer – provided title is free and clear of mortgages, liens and encumbrances. With either the HAFA short sale or DIL, the servicer may not require a cash contribution or promissory note from the borrower and must forfeit the ability to pursue a deficiency judgment against the borrower.

HAFA simplifies and streamlines the short sale and DIL process by providing a standard process flow, minimum performance timeframes and standard documentation.

  • Complements HAMP by providing a viable alternative for borrowers (the current homeowners) who are HAMP eligible but nevertheless unable to keep their home.
  • Uses borrower financial and hardship information already collected in connection with consideration of a loan modification.
  • Allows borrowers to receive pre-approved short sales terms before listing the property (including the minimum acceptable net proceeds).
  • Requires borrowers to be fully released from future liability for the first mortgage debt (no cash contribution, promissory note, or deficiency judgment is allowed).
  • Uses standard processes, documents, and timeframes/deadlines.
  • Provides the following financial incentives:
    • $3,000 for borrower relocation assistance;
    • $1,500 for servicers to cover administrative and processing costs;
    • Up to $2,000 for investors who allow a total of up to $6,000 in short sale proceeds to be distributed to subordinate lien holders, on a one-for-three matching basis.
  • Requires all servicers participating in HAMP to implement HAFA in accordance with their own written policy, consistent with investor guidelines. The policy may include factors such as the severity of the potential loss, local markets, timing of pending foreclosure actions, and borrower motivation and cooperation.

There are also specific forms that must be used with HAFA…

  • Home Affordable Modification Program – designed to enable borrowers that meet eligibility requirements to avoid foreclosure by modifying loans to a level that is affordable for borrowers and sustainable for the long-term.
  • Second Lien Modification Program – designed to enable borrowers struggling with their mortgage to lower payments on second mortgages.
  • Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives Program – provides borrowers that do not qualify for a HAMP modification with options to avoid foreclosure through a short sale or deed-in-lieu.
  • Treasury FHA-HAMP – designed to enable borrowers with FHA-insured first lien mortgage loans, that are modified under FHA-HAMP, eligible for certain incentive payments under HAMP.

FHA Program Adjustments to Support Refinancings for Underwater Idaho Homeowners

March 31, 2010

Posted by Dean Tucker of Waterstone Mortgage – Prime Equity Group in Boise Idaho

The Administration announced adjustments to Federal Housing Administration (FHA) programs that will permit lenders to provide additional refinancing options to homeowners who owe more than their home is worth because of large falls in home prices in their local markets. These adjustments will provide more opportunities for qualifying mortgage loans to be responsibly restructured and refinanced into FHA loans as long as the borrower is current on the mortgage and the lender reduces the amount owed on the original loan by at least 10 percent. This option should be available by the fall.

 The new FHA loan must have a balance less than the current value of the home, and total mortgage debt for the borrower after the refinancing, including both first and any other mortgages, cannot be greater than 115 percent of the current value of the home – giving homeowners a path to regain equity in their homes and an affordable monthly payment. This refinancing will help homeowners by setting monthly payments at affordable levels and decreasing the mortgage burden for families owing significantly more than their homes are worth. Keeping more responsible families in their homes should support the continued recovery of the housing market.

FHA Refinance Option 

1)    FHA Refinance Option for Underwater Loans –Encouraging Responsible Restructuring and Refinancing.

  • Voluntary option encourages lenders and borrowers to work together, when appropriate, to restructure underwater mortgages. Because it is voluntary for lenders, not all underwater borrowers who meet criteria below will receive an FHA refinance loan.
  • Enables refinancing into more sustainable loans that are no higher compared to the value of the home than the standard FHA refinance loan (97.75 percent).
  • Lenders write down principal of the original first mortgage at least 10 percent to reduce the debt burden on borrowers, though we expect the average principal write-down to be significantly more than that.
  • Enables refinancing to a reduced monthly payment at current low interest rates to facilitate affordable homeownership.
  • Homeowner Eligibility

               i)       Homeowners must be current on their existing mortgage. They must occupy the home as their primary residence, fully document their income and have a qualifying credit score.

              ii)     As with any loan forgiveness, this short refinancing should be reflected as a negative feature on a borrower’s credit score.

              iii)   Option is available to homeowners with mortgages not currently insured by the FHA.

2)    Incentives for Principal Write-downs on Second Liens

  • All mortgage debt including second liens must be written down to a maximum of 115 percent of the current value of the home to qualify for the refinance.

3)    Transparency on Impact of These Refinancings

  • FHA will publish data on number of loans, average percentage written down and quantity of principal reduced quarterly.

4)    TARP Funded Support to Expand Impact of Refinance Option

  • TARP funds will be made available up to a total of $14 billion to provide incentives to support writedowns of second liens and encourage participation by servicers, and to provide additional coverage for a share of potential losses on these loans.

The following information provides a brief overview of the key features of the refinance option. Detailed guidelines will be announced by FHA Mortgagee Letter.

1)    FHA Refinance Option for Underwater Homeowners – Encouraging Responsible Refinancings

  • Voluntary option for lenders and borrowers
  • Encourages lenders and borrowers to work together, when appropriate, to restructure debts

              i)       Qualifying first lien mortgage loans must have a minimum write-down of at least 10 percent and total mortgage loan to value on the home can be no greater than 115 percent after the refinancing

  • Eligible underwater loans are refinanced into new FHA loans on FHA terms for full documentation, income ratios, and complete underwriting
  • Terms of FHA refinancing:

              i)       FHA loan will be equal to no more than 97.75 percent of the value of the home

              ii)     Combined mortgage debt must be written down to a maximum of 115 percent of the current value of the home

              iii)   Standard FHA mortgage insurance premium structure will apply

  • Mandatory principal write-down as part of refinance

              i)       Minimum write-down by lender of 10 percent of the unpaid balance of the original loan

  • Affordable monthly mortgage payments to facilitate affordable homeownership

              i)       New monthly mortgage payment at current low FHA interest rate

              ii)     Total monthly mortgage payment, including for second mortgage, will not be greater than approximately 31 percent of income, and total debt service including all forms of household debt will not be greater than approximately 50 percent except for some borrowers with especially strong credit histories

  • Existing lenders can retain second mortgages on the property, but only up to a combined 115 percent of the current value of the home

              i)       If there is an existing mortgage that is not extinguished, holders must agree to resubordinate and write off any amount over 115 percent of the current value of the home

              ii)     The existing first mortgage is refinanced into a fully documented FHA insured mortgage at no greater than 97.75 percent of the value of the home

  • Homeowner Eligibility

              i)       Homeowners must be current on their existing mortgage payment

              ii)     Homeowner must occupy the home as their primary residence and fully document their income

              iii)   Homeowners must qualify under standard FHA underwriting guidelines

              iv)   Homeowners must have a FICO credit score of at least 500

              v)     Existing lenders/investors holding the first lien must agree to the principal write-down requirement. Thus, not all homeowners who meet above criteria will receive an FHA refinanced loan

              vi)   As with any loan forgiveness, the short refinancing should be reflected on borrowers’ credit score

  • Performance of these refinanced loans will not count against lenders for their Credit Watch scores, if the above parameters are met

2)    Incentives for Principal Write-downs on Second Liens

  • Incentives for immediate write-down of underwater second liens by lenders will be offered to encourage write-downs in connection with the FHA refinance.
  • An extinguishment schedule will be implemented based on the below taking into account the likely distribution of the second lien lenders that will agree to immediate write-downs

Table: Extinguishment Price Schedule: Per Dollar of Unpaid Principal

  Second Lien CLTV Range 
Combined LTV 105 to 115 115 to 140 > 140
Projected Schedule 0.21 0.15 0.10

 

3)    Transparency on Impact of These Refinancings

  • FHA will publish data on numbers of loans refinanced in this way including average percentage written down and quantity of principal reduced quarterly 

4)    4. Up to a total of $14 billion in TARP funds to expand impact of refinance option

  • TARP funds will be made available for incentives to support write-downs of second liens and encourage participation by servicers as well as the provision of coverage for some share of potential losses on loans. Total support provided through these three mechanisms will not exceed $14 billion
  • TARP funds will be used to provide coverage for a share of losses on loans up to a specified amount. The FHA will provide remaining loss coverage up to the maximum insurance coverage. Thus, the new lender will have a loan that is backed by the United States for up to 97.75 percent of the home value, as with other FHA refinance loans
  • TARP will purchase a letter of credit that will provide this loss coverage

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