Real Estate and Mortgage Predictions for 2011

December 29, 2010

With 2010 coming to a close, the “experts” are out in full force, making predictions for next year’s housing and mortgage markets on business television and in the papers.

Real Estate Predictions for 2011

Real Estate Predictions for 2011

Predictions for 2011 are wide-ranging:

The problem with housing and mortgage predictions is that — like all predictions — they’re just educated guesses about the future. Nobody knows what will really happen with the housing and mortgage markets in 2011. All anyone can do is theorize. As laypersons, though, it can be hard to separate theory from fact.

Television can make that task even more difficult at times.

As an example, when a well-dressed economist goes on CNBC and presents a clear, succinct argument for why home prices will fall on 2011, we’re inclined to believe the analysis and conclusion. After all, the outcome seems plausible outcome given the facts. But then, immediately after, a different economist presents an opposite argument — that home prices will rise in 2011 – and her analysis seems sound, too.

Even Freddie Mac can’t see the future.

Last year, the government group predicted mortgage rates to 6 percent in 2010. That never happened, of course. Instead, conforming mortgage rates dropped over a 7-month period this year to levels best be described as “historic”.  Freddie Mac couldn’t have been more wrong.

So, what’s a Boise homeowner to believe?

About the only thing that’s certain right now is that mortgage rates remain low by historical standards, and that home prices do, too. Also, that both housing and mortgage markets appear to be riding momentum higher into 2011.  This suggests that it will be more expensive to buy and finance a home by the end of 2011.

Until that time, however, predictions are just guesses.

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Call us with any questions you have relating to residential mortgages (208) 287-1717, we are always very happy to help. 

We specialize in home loans for first time home buyers, move up buyers, second home purchases, and resort lending. The loan products available to my clients include FHA, IHFA, VA, Conforming Conventional, Jumbo and Super Jumbo Portfolio.

Our primary markets are Ada County (Boise, Eagle, Meridian, Kuna, Star), Canyon County (Nampa, Caldwell, Middleton), and Valley County (Cascade, Donnelly. Tamarack, McCall).

 

There are bright spots in the housing market Boise!

September 29, 2010

The constant “doom and gloom” news reports might make you feel as if everyone is in foreclosure and that no one is buying any homes.  Of course, that is the farthest thing

Bright spots in the housing market

 from the truth.  In fact, there are some very bright spots in the housing market.

Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index released today increased 0.6 percent in July from June. The national gauge of home prices ticked up in July for the fourth straight month.

The National Association of Realtors reported that sales of existing (previously owned) homes shot up 7.6% in August to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.13 million units.  Another sign of strength is that the median sales prices actually increased, which shows that homes are not being moved due to lower prices.  The median sales price rose 0.8% to $178,600.

Sales grew in every region of the country.  They rose by 14% in the West, 8% in the Northeast and 5% in the Midwest and South.

(Waterstone Mortgage)


100% Financing available for Idaho First Time Homebuyers

August 25, 2010

Idaho First Time Homebuyers do have access to 100% financing! The property must be a single family residence and stick built construction – no multi-units or manufactured housing. Buyers have at least $1,000 of their own funds into the transaction which can go towards down payment or closing costs.

100% Financing Available

Home prices are fantastic right now and mortgage rates are at historical lows. Call and get prequalified — or apply online, you could be living in your very own home this year, (208) 287-1717.

(Home Loan Boise)


New Home Owners In The Waiting

August 25, 2010

A new survey by Trulia.com found that 72% of all renters wish to own their own home. Of those that want to own their own home, one third are ready to buy now and two thirds say that they will wait two years or more.

One-third is a very sizable number and combined with consistently low mortgage rates at or near their historic lows, the stage is set for entry-level home sales to continue to surge. As the entry-level market continues to improve, that provides demand for those that are moving up to the next price level.

While renters are eager to own, they are concerned about the unemployment picture, the economy, and down payment options.

See:  100% Financing for Idaho First Time Homebuyers

(Home Loan Boise)


Important Update to the FHA Loan Program

August 16, 2010

Over the past week, Congress has taken quick action and passed H.R. 5981. The bill gives FHA the authority to adjust its annual mortgage insurance premium, yielding approximately $300 million per month in value to the FHA Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund at a time when its reserves are perilously low.

As I have previously stated in my testimony before Congress, FHA will lower its upfront premium simultaneously with the increase to the annual premium¹. It is our intention that effective on September 7, 2010, FHA’s upfront mortgage insurance premium will be adjusted down to 100 basis points on all amortization terms and the annual mortgage insurance premium will increase to 85-90 basis points on amortization terms greater than 15 years². A Mortgagee Letter will be forthcoming once President Obama signs the bill into law, but with today’s passage of H.R. 5981 and our expedited implementation schedule, I wanted to immediately inform the industry of our plans so the lending community can begin preparing for the operational and system changes required to implement FHA’s new mortgage insurance premium structure on all new case numbers by September 7, 2010.

With this authority, FHA is in a better position to address the increased demands of the marketplace and return the MMI fund to congressionally mandated levels without disruption to the housing market.

While we appreciate and applaud this recent action, there is still work to be done. HUD remains steadfast in its commitment to comprehensive FHA reform legislation, similar to the FHA Reform Act passed earlier this year by the House, which would further enhance FHA’s lender enforcement capabilities and risk management efforts. We hope Congress will take swift action to pass a broader FHA reform bill when they return from the August recess. FHA’s risk management efforts will not be complete without the ability to monitor lender performance and ensure compliance with our rules.

Although the transition timeframe is short, implementation by September is critical. Thank you in advance for the efforts of you and your organization to make this change happen on such short notice. We appreciate your hard work and continued partnership.

¹The upfront and annual premium changes do not apply to the following FHA Programs: Title I, HECM, HOPE for Homeowners (H4H), Section 247 (Hawaiian Homelands), Section 248 (Indian Reservations), Section 223 (e) (declining neighborhoods), Section 238(c) (Military Impact areas in Georgia and New York).

² LTV’s <= 95% will increase to 85bps and LTV > 95% will increase to 90 bps

Home Loan Boise  and Waterstone Mortgage – Prime Equity Group


HomePath Mortgages by Fannie Mae

July 29, 2010

In today’s challenging real estate market, more buyers are looking at REO properties. Foreclosures are presenting both realtors and lenders new challenges. To help, Fannie Mae’s HomePath® program is designed to move Fannie Mae REO properties.

Homepath Mortgage

For the homebuyer, HomePath could be just what you or your client needs to move into a new home:

• Low down payment and flexible mortgage terms (fixed-rate and adjustable)

• No Mortgage Insurance

• No Appraisal Fee

• Borrowers may qualify even if their credit is less than perfect

• Available for owner-occupied, second and investments

• Single-family, condo, duplex, 4-plex all eligible

• Low down payment can be funded by:

     – Borrower’s own savings

     – A gift or grant

     – A loan from a non-profit organization, state or local government or employer

Give me a call today at (208) 287-1717. I know HomePath and REO properties. I can help you or your customers make the most of this unique program designed to help revitalize and stabilize neighborhoods.

Home Loan Boise  and Waterstone Mortgage – Prime Equity Group


HUD to get tough on ‘strategic’ mortgage defaults

July 20, 2010

Borrowers who walk away from mortgages they can afford to pay — making “strategic defaults” — are running increasing risks that they’ll be penalized for doing so.

Under a bill that’s passed the House and awaits Senate action, the Federal Housing Administration would be barred from insuring mortgages for those who previously ditched a mortgage they had the ability to pay.

Starting in October, Fannie Mae says, strategic defaulters will be disqualified for new Fannie Mae-backed loans for seven years after their foreclosures. Fannie also says it will go to court where it can to recoup outstanding mortgage debt from borrowers who strategically default.

Get-tough policies are forming at the same time that about a quarter of mortgage borrowers owe more than their homes are worth.

Fannie Mae buys about 40% of all mortgages and packages them for resale to investors. The FHA insures about 30% of home mortgages.

Home Loan Boise  and Waterstone Mortgage – Prime Equity Group


VA Buyers – The Home Buyer Tax Credit Extension has been extended to 2011 for Military

July 8, 2010

Great news for military home buyers using VA loans. The much-talked about $8,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers recently expired for most people, But if you’re military or a certain government employee, this fantastic opportunity has been extended to 2011! You still can qualify for a tax credit of up to $8,000 even if you’re not a first-time homebuyer.

Briefly, if you sold a home because of “orders” between 1-1-09 and 4-30-10 and served at least 91 days extended duty, you will qualify for the homebuyer tax credit as long as income, sales price and age (18 years) requirements are met. You need to sign a contract by April 30, 2011 and close on your home by June 30, 2011.

 

Who qualifies?

  • Member or spouse of “uniformed” services or the US Foreign Service
  • Employee or spouse of the Intelligence Community

 To also qualify, you must also have served Extended Duty for 91 days between Jan. 1, 2009 and April 30, 2010:

  • Outside the US or
  • Inside the US and had to relocate at least 50 miles from principal residence

Call Dean Tucker at Waterstone Mortgage – Prime Equity Group for more information (208) 287-1717. As a seasoned mortgage professional I can help you make the best decision about one of the largest financial purchases you may ever make.


Idaho first time home buyers have an option that is even better than FHA!

June 14, 2010

 The Idaho Housing and Finance Association (IHFA) have launched a new program to make homeownership a reality through its IdaMortgage program. The new Affordable Advantage Loan offers a down payment as low as $1,000, and has no mortgage insurance requirement, saving qualified borrowers money on the mortgage payment every month.

“This IHFA exclusive financing option is a great tool for homebuyers as the housing market in Idaho continues its recovery,” said Gerald Hunter, IHFA president and executive director. “It offers another affordable lending option for low- to moderate-income homebuyers across the state.”

Affordable Advantage Loan
Features of the Affordable Advantage Loan include:
• As little as $1,000 needed from borrower to close
• A low-cost, 30-year fixed interest rate
• No mortgage insurance required, reducing a borrower’s monthly payment
• Financing to first-time homebuyers (including those who have not owned a home in the past three years) with good credit histories, requires a 680.  
• Income limits apply
• Loans are serviced in Idaho by IHFA

Home buyers should call me today at (208) 287-1717 to check their eligibility, or visit IdaMortgage  www.IdaMortgage.com

Waterstone Boise


New HAFA Provisions for Boise Idaho

May 17, 2010

HAFA Provisions

The Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives (HAFA) Program provides additional options to avoid costly foreclosures and offers incentives to borrowers, servicers and investors who utilize a short sale or deed-in-lieu (DIL) to avoid foreclosures. HAFA alternatives are available to all HAMP-eligible borrowers who: 1) do not qualify for a Trial Period Plan; 2) do not successfully complete a Trial Period Plan; 3) miss at least two consecutive payment during a HAMP modification; or, 4) request a short sale or deed-in-lieu.

In a short sale, the servicer allows the borrower to list and sell the mortgaged property with the understanding that the net proceeds from the sale may be less than the total amount due on the first mortgage. Generally, if the borrower makes a good faith effort to sell the property but is not successful, a servicer may consider a DIL. With a DIL, the borrower voluntarily transfers ownership of the property to the servicer – provided title is free and clear of mortgages, liens and encumbrances. With either the HAFA short sale or DIL, the servicer may not require a cash contribution or promissory note from the borrower and must forfeit the ability to pursue a deficiency judgment against the borrower.

HAFA simplifies and streamlines the short sale and DIL process by providing a standard process flow, minimum performance timeframes and standard documentation.

  • Complements HAMP by providing a viable alternative for borrowers (the current homeowners) who are HAMP eligible but nevertheless unable to keep their home.
  • Uses borrower financial and hardship information already collected in connection with consideration of a loan modification.
  • Allows borrowers to receive pre-approved short sales terms before listing the property (including the minimum acceptable net proceeds).
  • Requires borrowers to be fully released from future liability for the first mortgage debt (no cash contribution, promissory note, or deficiency judgment is allowed).
  • Uses standard processes, documents, and timeframes/deadlines.
  • Provides the following financial incentives:
    • $3,000 for borrower relocation assistance;
    • $1,500 for servicers to cover administrative and processing costs;
    • Up to $2,000 for investors who allow a total of up to $6,000 in short sale proceeds to be distributed to subordinate lien holders, on a one-for-three matching basis.
  • Requires all servicers participating in HAMP to implement HAFA in accordance with their own written policy, consistent with investor guidelines. The policy may include factors such as the severity of the potential loss, local markets, timing of pending foreclosure actions, and borrower motivation and cooperation.

There are also specific forms that must be used with HAFA…

  • Home Affordable Modification Program – designed to enable borrowers that meet eligibility requirements to avoid foreclosure by modifying loans to a level that is affordable for borrowers and sustainable for the long-term.
  • Second Lien Modification Program – designed to enable borrowers struggling with their mortgage to lower payments on second mortgages.
  • Home Affordable Foreclosure Alternatives Program – provides borrowers that do not qualify for a HAMP modification with options to avoid foreclosure through a short sale or deed-in-lieu.
  • Treasury FHA-HAMP – designed to enable borrowers with FHA-insured first lien mortgage loans, that are modified under FHA-HAMP, eligible for certain incentive payments under HAMP.

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